Sports betting can be extremely profitable if anyone know the strategies the particular “smart money” bettors employ to consistently make money. One of the biggest secrets that smart money gamblers use is definitely knowing when NOT to bet.

Here’s a best illustration. I actually analyzed often the Western California vs. Louisville sport, and concluded that will West Va had often the edge in the video game. However , I actually also realized that there was a lot of random and capricious factors, and recommended to a clients that they do not guarantee on this game. Here is my own analysis I released ahead of the game:

West California or Louisville

This game offers all the indicators of being one regarding the best games regarding the year, with equally teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, both equally together with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s game was a classic, together with Western Virginia coming back again from becoming down major in the next fraction to winning within overtime.

So what’s the sport appear like this year?

When this activity were being played on a good neutral field, West Va would certainly probably be a 4-6 position favorite. Since typically the game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia is on an unprecedented move. They will haven’t lost due to the fact April. 1, 2005, proceeding 14-0 since they lost to Florida Tech. On the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last dokuz video games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their previous 10 ROUTE games.

These types of are some very impressive stats that tilt the scales in favor connected with WVU regarding tonight’s games. Plus, the added in bonus is that WVU is usually GETTING +1 point. This may not appear like significantly, but in a in close proximity match-up like this, that special point could make the big difference between some sort of push and a loss.

But what about Louisville?

Louisville’s figures are usually almost as good as WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their very own very last 10 games, Louisville is simply 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is even now 7-3 ATS inside their very last 10 home activities.

In addition to if you’re leaning in direction of WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t missing in your own home since 12 18, 2003! During this current run Louisville is hitting 49. four points every game in the home, while hitting only giving up 15. six points for every game on home. In case an individual don’t do the mathematics, that means since their very own last home loss they have already averaged beating their very own competitors by about 34 items per game.

What’s more extraordinary, the average line in these games has only recently been 21 points. That stands for Louisville has beaten this divide, on average, by way of 13 details per video game at home considering the year 2003.

Wow… how can you not in favor of that?

Here’s precisely how…

https://www.ufabet168.info/%E0%B8%AA%E0%B8%A1%E0%B8%B1%E0%B8%84%E0%B8%A3ufabet/ of those stats were being accumulated during the july 2004 season. Shock as to, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to great than great. They already have experienced recent games by which they’ve only scored twenty-eight, 12, 24 points. These video games weren’t against Kentkucky Stycken. or Michigan. Many people were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St.

The end result is that will this is still a new close activity to get in touch with. Nonetheless the things i look with regard to is West Virginia’s safeguard to carry the working day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St. can most hold Louisville under 25 points, then there’s not any purpose to think WVU can’t hold them to this low to middle 20’s. My honest recommendation can be to lay off this specific game and certainly not bet at all. There are better games this saturday and sunday with more clear-cut rewards.

The final score of this game was Louisville forty four, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles and even allowed Lousiville to give back a good punt for a good TD. The bottom line was of which West Virginia’s advantage wasn’t so big they will could still win immediately after making so many mistakes. By way of not betting on this kind of match, people significant regarding wagering saved money that they can offer better use on coming games.