Sports betting can be quite profitable if an individual know the tricks often the “smart money” gamblers apply to consistently make money. The most significant secrets that sensible money gamblers use is definitely knowing when NOT to help bet.

Here’s a great instance. My partner and i analyzed the particular Western Florida vs. Louisville activity, and concluded that West California had often the edge in the video game. However , My partner and i also recognized that there was a good deal of random and unknown factors, and recommended to a clients that they carry out not bet on this particular game. Here is the analysis I released before the game:

West Va or Louisville

This activity provides all the signals of being one connected with the greatest games of the year, together with the two teams coming into the action 7-0. It’s #3 placed West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, both equally with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, along with Western Virginia coming again from being down big in the independence day one fourth to winning in overtime, however,.

So what’s สมัครUFABET like this year?

If this game were turning into played from the natural field, West Virginia would probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since this game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented rotate. They will haven’t lost considering that July. 1, 2005, planning 14-0 since they misplaced to Florida Tech. Through the last two months they’re 13-5 ATS likewise. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 9 games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 10 ROAD games.

These kinds of are some very amazing stats that tilt the scales in favor connected with WVU to get tonight’s online game. Plus, the extra reward is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This can not look like much, but in a close match-up like this, that spare point might make the change between some sort of push in addition to a loss.

But what concerning Louisville?

Louisville’s numbers may be almost as good since WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their own very last 10 games, Louisville is simply 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS within their last 10 home games.

Plus if you’re leaning in direction of WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t lost at home since 12 18, the year 2003! During this present run Louisville is hitting 49. five points for each game in the home, while hitting only giving up 15. 7 points for each game at home. In case a person decided not to do the math, that means since their very own last home loss they’ve averaged beating their particular opponents by way of about 34 items per game.

In addition amazing, the average line in these games has only also been 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten this get spread around, on average, by 13 details per activity at home since 2003.

Wow… how can an individual go against that?

Here’s precisely how…

Almost all of those stats were being developed during the 2004 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to great than great. They are yet to experienced recent games where they’ve only scored 36, 12, 24 points. That video games weren’t against Iowa Street. or Michigan. That they were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St.

In essence that this is still a good close activity to call up. But what I look regarding is West Virginia’s protection to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 25 points, then there’s zero reason to think WVU can’t have one to typically the low to mid 20’s. My honest endorsement can be to lay off this kind of game and certainly not wager at all. There are better video games this quick with more simple strengths.

The final score in this game was Louisville forty-four, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West Las vegas had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to give back a punt for a TD. The bottom line was that West Virginia’s border was not so big that they can could still win following building so many mistakes. By way of not betting on this specific sport, people really serious regarding gambling saved money these people can put to better work with on coming games.